The Complicated Senate Scene

[Draggingtree]

RedState: The Complicated Senate Scene

By: davenj1 (Diary) | September 23rd, 2014 at 04:05 PM

 

Sabato’s Crystal Ball had an interesting article about the Senate elections this year and the possibility that we may not really have a clear indication of control of the Senate come Election Day. As they note, there are five races where the average poll results between the Republican and Democrat are less than three percentage points at this stage in the game- Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas and Louisiana. In addition to the closeness of the races at this point, there are further complicating factors intrinsic to certain states, especially Louisiana and Georgia.

 

The first complicating factor is the actual closeness of the races. If one year ago anyone would have predicted that Kansas would be a Senatorial battleground, especially involving a Republican incumbent in a red state, they would have been laughed out of town.

[Draggingtree]

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

By Stuart RothenbergPosted at 5 a.m. on Sept. 23

 

With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.

 

Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. And they need to win only one of the Democratic states if they hold the only GOP seat at serious risk.

 

While things could still change — and national polls continue to show an environment that may produce a substantial GOP wave in the House and Senate — the Senate battle has boiled down to two reliably red states and three swing states.

 

While you can find Democrats spinning a yarn about how their party could pull off an upset in a multi-candidate race in South Dakota, that state, plus West Virginia and Montana, look poised to flip to the GOP in November.

 

Two Southern Democrats

http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/senate-races-2014-five-states/

[Cyber_Liberty]

 

...we may not really have a clear indication of control of the Senate come Election Day.

 

No, we won't, and this will only get worse and worse, as more people go to mail-in and early ballots. More mail-in ballots mean more votes that don't get canvassed on Election night, and also more Dem cheating. We're moving steadily into third-world election status, which only benefits the Dems.

[Draggingtree]

Clearest Sign Yet the GOP Will Take the Senate: Eric Holder to Resign

By: Erick Erickson (Diary) | September 25th, 2014 at 11:03 AM

 

Eric Holder is going to resign his position as Attorney General

 

News is just coming across the wire. Holder has been Obama’s friend and companion for six years. He has relentlessly screwed up most everything he has touched. He has overseen a Department of Justice that has been complicit in killing American border patrol agents and covering up abusive government. In the vernacular of the kids these days, Eric Holder has loyally served as Barack Obama’s

cockblocker.

 

http://www.redstate.com/2014/09/25/clearest-sign-yet-the-gop-will-take-the-senate-eric-holder-to-resign/

[Draggingtree]

Introducing The Senate Breakers Report The Race To 50

By: Dan McLaughlin (Diary) | September 26th, 2014 at 12:10 PM

Today I’m introducing a quick-and-dirty metric for examining the state of play in the Senate races: the Senate Breakers Report. http://www.redstate.com/2014/09/26/introducing-senate-breakers-report/

[Draggingtree]

A U.S. Senate Race Refresher: GOP Still Has Edge, But Can It Hold?

With five weeks to go until the elections, here's a rundown on how the Senate races look.

By Brandon Finnigan OCTOBER 1, 2014

A lot has changed since we last brought you a look at November, so let’s go through those changes before we get to the forecast.

 

First, with just five weeks to go, we have eliminated a few categories and changed their meaning for the races.

 

SOLID R/D: This is a race where the Republican or Democrat is clearly favored, barring an Act of Cthulu. While certain races may have been promising at some point in the cycle for either side (Oregon, New Mexico, and Virginia for the Republicans, Mississippi for the Democrats), with less than five weeks to go, these seats aren’t budging.

 

LIKELY R/D: These are races that have the

http://thefederalist.com/2014/10/01/a-u-s-senate-race-refresher-gop-still-has-edge-but-can-it-hold/