Rothenberg: Senate GOP Gains At Least 7 Seats

[Valin]

Roll Call:

Stuart Rothenberg

Sept. 8 2014

 

While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.

 

But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain.

 

Rothenberg Political Report ratings reflect both where a race stands and, more importantly, where it is likely headed on Election Day. Since early polls rarely reflect the eventual November environment, either in terms of the candidates’ name recognition and resources or of the election’s dynamic, there is often a gap between how I categorize each race (my ratings) and what I privately assume will happen in November.

 

(snip)