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Premature Climate Alarmism in Austin


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premature_climate_alarmism_in_austin.htmlAmerican Thinker:

The New York Times is reporting on a study the city of Austin, Texas commissioned to examine the potential impacts of climate change in the city.


According to the article:


The study, which was done by the scientific research and consulting firm Atmos, also found that while Austin would probably experience longer dry spells and receive less rain over all, it would be hit more frequently with 'extreme precipitation' events that could lead to widespread flooding. City departments recently asked the City Council for more than $650,000 for detailed assessments of how climate change could affect Austin’s infrastructure, from its water reservoirs and power plants to its parks.


That's an interesting prediction, given how there has been no significant trend in Austin's summertime precipitation since records began in 1898. In fact, the correlation is positive, toward more rain in the summer. Similarly, no significant trend since 1970, either, and another positive correlation – not negative. No significant trend over the past 30 years as well.


There has been no trend in Austin's annual precipitation since the late 1800s. It's almost a perfect non-correlation. Since 1970, there is also no significant trend, and we see a positive – not negative – correlation. Essentially a perfect non-correlation over the past three decades, too.


Overall, there is absolutely no sign that the amount of summertime or annual precipitation in Austin is changing. This contrasts sharply with predictions that “Austin would probably ... receive less rain over all.”


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