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Polls: Weiner Has Surprising Support From Women


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WestVirginiaRebel
polls_weiner_has_surprising_support_from_women_118994.htmlReal Clear Politics:

When Anthony Weiner entered the New York City mayor's race last month, few observers expected the disgraced former congressman to become a front-runner to succeed Michael Bloomberg.

Fewer still anticipated that Weiner would poll particularly well among women.

But two surveys released this week show that the married Weiner, who resigned from Congress in 2011 after first lying about and then admitting to lewd online behavior, has surged into the top tier of a crowded Democratic field and that his support among female voters is robust.

A Quinnipiac poll released on Wednesday afternoon found the race to be a statistical three-way tie with City Council Speaker Christine Quinn at 19 percent, Weiner at 17 percent, and former City Comptroller Bill Thompson at 16 percent.

All three were well below the 40 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff, but the most eye-catching numbers were in the poll’s cross-tabs that break down voter preferences by gender.

Weiner trailed Quinn among men, 23 percent to 19 percent. But among women, they were tied for the lead, with each candidate garnering 16 percent of support.

And in a separate Wall Street Journal/NBC 4/Marist poll released Tuesday, Weiner actually leads Quinn among all Democrats by a margin of 25 percent to 20 percent, and he also bested her among women -- though by a smaller margin.

Weiner’s robust showing among that group of voters against the race’s only major female candidate is perhaps the most significant and surprising development in a still heavily unsettled race.

According to New York-based Democratic strategist Dan Gerstein, some of Weiner’s strength thus far can be explained by the outsized media attention he has garnered in a campaign relatively lacking in fireworks and dynamic personalities.

“He pops because he says things that cut through the clatter,” Gerstein said of Weiner. “That said, I think it’s a very troubling indicator for Christine Quinn -- and to some degree it reflects that her campaign is not only not breaking through, it’s not communicating to women voters any sense of solidarity and that they should embrace her as a path-breaker.”

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Ladies' man? People get the politicians they deserve...


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