Jump to content

Can Romney show voters Obama is out of date?


Geee

Recommended Posts

article.php?id=50707Human Events:

 

Time for a postmortem on the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

 

Yes, I know Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich are still out there saying interesting things. And that Rick Santorum says it's only halftime and argues he can somehow overtake Mitt Romney by carrying his home state of Pennsylvania.

 

But polls there show a close race. And the idea that, if Romney falls short of a delegate majority, superdelegates will throng to a proudly unscripted, shoot-from-the-lip alternative is delusional.

 

The interesting questions are what the primaries and caucuses tell us about the state of the Republican Party and about Mitt Romney's chances in the general election.

 

In 2000, a time of apparent peace and prosperity, George W. Bush won the nomination by consolidating cultural conservatives and making inroads among the affluent. Cultural issues were then more important than economics or foreign policy.

 

This year, a time of economic stagnation and lingering war, Mitt Romney won the nomination by consolidating the affluent and making inroads among tea partiers. Economic issues far overshadow cultural issues.

 

Romney's victory margins have come from the suburbs in big metropolitan areas. Unlike Bush, he's been losing the rural and small-town counties. "Somewhat conservative" voters now personify the Republican Party.

 

All of which suggests that this fall Romney may run much better than recent Republican nominees in affluent Northern suburbs. They've voted increasingly Democratic over the past 20 years, turning target states into safely Democratic states. Now they may turn back again.

 

Additional evidence comes from the Pew Research surveys showing Democrats losing ground in the Obama years among white Catholics and Jews -- groups disproportionately concentrated in affluent Northern suburbs.Scissors-32x32.png


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Barone is excellent, and this is a somewhat optimistic view of Romney's chances. I hope Romney listens to people like Barone. I'm not sure who he's been listening to up to this point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I agree. I, too, have been wondering who he's been listening to up to this point. Before he even says anything more I wish he would ditch the jeans! I even tried to send him an email suggesting that but couldn't figure out how to do it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I agree. I, too, have been wondering who he's been listening to up to this point. Before he even says anything more I wish he would ditch the jeans! I even tried to send him an email suggesting that but couldn't figure out how to do it.

I'm not sure if this is a better look...

CkjBk.jpg

 

 

Reminds me too much of this....

john_kerry_wind_surfing.jpg

 

It just kind of smells of trying too hard.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • 1709125525
×
×
  • Create New...