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Expecting the Unexpected


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expecting-the-unexpectedAmerican Spectator:

WASHINGTON, Michigan -- Many pundits predict that if Mitt Romney wins Tuesday's Republican primaries in Michigan and Arizona, the momentum will carry the Massachusetts governor to a sweep of the Super Tuesday primaries a week later. But one veteran of the topsy-turvy 2012 campaign expressed doubts Thursday about any such prediction.

"Michigan matters," said Herman Cain, who ended his own bid for the GOP nomination in December. "There's no question about it -- Michigan definitely matters, and Super Tuesday's going to be critical."

Speaking to reporters after an event in Troy, where he appeared with Republican Senate candidate Pete Hoekstra, Cain considered two alternative scenarios for Super Tuesday on March 6, when nearly 200 delegates will be on the line.

"If it's a three-way split, get ready for a long process, folks," the Atlanta businessman said. "If one of [the candidates] gets the lion's share of those [super Tuesday delegates], then you could start to see some movement in terms of who might be that presumptive [GOP nominee]. But I'm not anticipating that, and here's why: Go all the way back to Iowa. Iowa couldn't predict New Hampshire, New Hampshire didn't predict South Carolina, South Carolina didn't predict Florida. Florida didn't predict the places out west, Missouri and the others, and they're not going to predict Michigan or Super Tuesday. The electorate is still sort of all over the place."

The turbulent Republican primary campaign has seen many ups and downs, none more spectacular than Cain's. He made a meteoric ascent to the top of the field after winning a Florida straw poll in September, and moved ahead of Romney in October, only to tumble in November in the wake of several highly publicized sexual allegations that were never proven and which Cain still firmly denies. Despite the disappointing finish of his presidential campaign, the former Godfather's Pizza CEO remains popular with conservatives. Cain was greeted with a standing ovation when he was introduced Thursday evening at the American Polish Cultural Center in Troy, where he appeared with Hoekstra, whom polls show likely to win Tuesday's Michigan primary for the Senate race against Democrat Sen. Debbie Stabenow.Scissors-32x32.png

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