Super Tuesday Polls Post Mortem: You Would Get Better Results Asking Random Winos

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RedState: Super Tuesday Polls Post Mortem: You Would Get Better Results Asking Random Winos

By: streiff (Diary) | March 2nd, 2016 at 11:00 AM

 

Polls have acquired a life of their own in political commentary. They are quoted relentlessly to make cases about what will happen in the future. So I thought it would be fun to take a quick tour of Super Tuesday polls, particularly the polling averages (for some reason a lot of people believe that if you average a lot of bulls*** numbers you get a real number, go figure), and compare them to actual results. The results don’t give one great confidence in political polling at the state level. And, quite honestly, if you can’t get the number right is a state, particularly a smallish state, you can’t get the number right nationally.

Alabama