GOP Presidential Betting Odds: Has the Debate Changed the Equation?

[Draggingtree]

:
GOP Presidential Betting Odds: Has the Debate Changed the Equation?

By: davenj1 (Diary) | August 27th, 2015 at 01:06 AM

I have been tracking the Vegas and British odds on the GOP nomination race since March and I updated them in June. Without getting into the methodology, in the interest of consistency, I use the same three sources (the British odds are a composite of three outlets). Since there are 16 candidates (I excluded Gilmore), they are divided into four tiers of 4 candidates each based on their odds.

 

Listed below is each candidate in alphabetical order. The numbers in parentheses indicate their odds in April, on June 17, and on August 9 (just after the first debate). Listed next to their name is their most recent odds and tier. Within the parentheses, next to the odds is the tier they fell in. At the end of each analysis is their position in the polls on those dates listed. Without further ado: