Want to predict the future political pulse of American voters? Look at Canada.

[Valin]

Center Of The American Experiment

Ron Eibensteiner

July 19 2019

Among the obligations of being married to a politically-astute former Canadian is to stay informed about the political trends of our neighbors to the north. While I normally resist the temptation to share my Canadian punditry (you’re welcome!), there is a startling movement in the Great White North that deserves our attention.

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By the next election (2019), Alberta’s voters had seen enough. With the economy sinking fast, the province’s rural voters (and what I suspect is a growing national annoyance with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau) helped Jason Kenney and the United Conservatives rout Notley’s party with a 55-33 drubbing in the popular vote (with the rest going to minor parties). Notley’s loss marked the first time in provincial history that an incumbent premier had lost an election after just one term.

Canada’s growing repudiation of liberal policies was even more striking in Ontario, where Doug Ford and his Progressive Conservatives handed liberal premier Kathleen Wynne the worst defeat of a sitting incumbent in the history of the province.

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In Quebec, the liberal government of Philippe Couillard, which had held power for 13 of the last 15 years, was swept from power in a stunning landslide by Coalition Avenir Quebec, a conservative “third” party that won 74 out of 125 seats in the provincial legislature. The Liberals retained only 31 seats.

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