Valin Posted June 10, 2010 Share Posted June 10, 2010 Hugh Hewitt Blog:6/10/10CA Senate (Result) Fiorina 35 (May Poll) Fiorina-15 (April Poll) Fiorina-7CA Gov (Result) Whitman 38 (May Poll) Whitman 2 (April Poll) Whitman 22NV Senate (Result) Angle 16 (May Poll) Angle-1 April Poll0 Angle-25Ark Senate (Result) Lincoln 4 (May Poll) Lincoln-4 (April Poll) Lincoln 12SC Gov (Result) Haley 27 (May Poll) Haley 10 (Aprial Poll) Haley-7(March)There are scores and scores of polls from which to pick data points, and I use these 15 different polls to illustrate that their is either incredible volatility in the electorate, that pollsters don't know what they are doing, or that pollsters tweak their samples to get results they or their clients want --or all three.The key takeaway of course is not to allow any poll or set of polls to influence coverage or behavior as there is very good reason to distrust any particular result, and even sets of polls from a particular point in time. DailyKos fired its pollster yesterday. Given the terrible track record of other firms, other employers ought to stop paying the invoices as well.....(Snip) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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