Will Hillary Be Able To Overcome Low Democrat Enthusiasm?

[Geee]

Investors Business Daily:

Bill Clinton won the presidency in 1992 by running as a different kind of Democrat from previous nominees. Hillary Clinton, Anne Gearan of the Washington Post reports, is hoping to win the presidency in 2016 by running as the same kind of Democrat as the current incumbent.

 

There's a certain logic in that. President Obama did win twice, while the five pre-Clinton Democratic nominees lost five of the six previous elections.

 

But maybe it's too logical. There's also magic to presidential elections, something that no arithmetic formula can capture.

 

It's not clear that a 69-year-old Hillary Clinton in 2016 can inspire the enthusiasm that the 47-year-old Obama did in 2008.

 

Camp Clinton's assumption is that their candidate can count on and expand Obama's "coalition of the ascendant" — the Atlantic's Ronald Brownstein's term.

 

In particular, "non-whites" are an inevitably increasing share of the electorate, and Clinton strategists expect that share to grow from 28% in 2012 to 31% next year.

 

But "non-whites" are not a cohesive or uniform bloc.

 

Blacks, Hispanics and Asians act, think and vote differently. Let's look at some numbers.

[clearvision]

All good. But does not matter unless the Republican turnout is strong.